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Will Alabama football make the College Football Playoff? Bracket, scenarios, predictions

As the 2023 college football season heads into its final stretch, Alabama’s chances of making the College Football Playoff (CFP) are very much alive, but they depend on a combination of their own performance and what happens in other conference championships.

Current Status: Alabama (10-2) is ranked No. 8 in the latest CFP rankings, and their resume includes wins over LSU and a dominant performance against Georgia in the SEC Championship game. Their two losses—against Texas and LSU—were to high-quality opponents, which boosts their playoff argument. However, a two-loss record could hurt their case compared to other one-loss teams like Michigan, Washington, and Florida State.

Scenarios:

1. SEC Champions: If Alabama beats Georgia in the SEC Championship, it would almost certainly vault them into the CFP, potentially displacing a team like Florida State or Washington if those teams lose their respective championship games.

2. Help from Other Conferences: If Alabama wins the SEC title but other conference champions like Michigan or Washington remain undefeated, they could still be left out. If, however, teams like Texas, Florida State, or Washington lose, Alabama’s resume would look even stronger.

3. Chaos Scenario: A scenario where multiple top teams lose in championship games (e.g., Michigan, Washington, and Florida State) could give Alabama an edge. In this case, the selection committee could favor Alabama’s strong SEC Championship win over other one-loss or two-loss teams.

Prediction: If Alabama wins the SEC Championship and chaos ensues in other conferences, they will likely be in the CFP. However, if Michigan, Washington, and Florida State all win, Alabama could be on the outside looking in. The next two weeks will be crucial in determining the final bracket.